OFFICIAL SPORTS BETTING THREAD

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May 7, 2013
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#41
Well I correctly predicted the house would take 2/3 odds on the NFL opener last night, unfortunately I did not predict the correct 2/3 and lost my money line bet on the Bare naked ladies

I did learn a very valuable gambling lesson: I saw where the sharp money was and didn't even know I was looking at sharp money. Two days ago, the percentage of money on GB Spread, GB Money Line, and under were >90%. By 8a yesterday, the Bears were favorites by bettors in both SP and ML. Also, the O/U became more centered, meaning the joes started piling in on the over and the Bears. All things being equal, the sharps made out on all 3 lines and the casinos took 2/3.

The sharps hit soft lines early.
 
May 7, 2013
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www.hoescantstopme.biz
#42
Hope everyone had a good Week 1 NFL betting so far.

Some data:

Out of the 14 contests from Thursday and Sunday, the away team was 9-4-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The house did quite well on the ATS column, if you look at the differentials in money placed. Two games tonight.

Aways that Covered
GB @ CHI
WAS @ PHI
BUF @ NYJ
BAL @ MIA
SF @ TB
KC @ JAX
TEN @ CLE
LAR @ CAR
CIN @ SEA

Homes that Covered
ATL @ MIN
DET @ AZ
NYG @ DAL
PIT @ NE

lone push so far was IND @ LAC

Week 2 only has one away team that covered on the road, again (KC @ OAK). All of the home teams that covered so far are on the road next week.

*I had no full game spread bets myself, although I did bet First Half Spreads on Jets, Lions, Chiefs, Buccs and was fortunate all 4 of those covered.
 
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May 7, 2013
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113
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www.hoescantstopme.biz
#44

This was basically the only Steeler that could really get to Brady. W/O him not sure what the blitz or rush will look like. This is good for Seattle and so is having Clowney. Because of Clowney the weak secondary will improve and progress. Will have to review lines before betting this game.
 
May 7, 2013
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113
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www.hoescantstopme.biz
#55


This was coo for a little side play. Unfortunately the Celtics blew my NBA parlay by literally having the winning shot roll off the rim at end of game. Fortunately weren't my only two bets of day/weekend and actually had another 50% profit on total bets for the weekend again. As a Joe, a 20% profit day is a good day, anything greater is a great day imo as the house is happy with a 10% gain (how odds are cut). Overall the last location I went got hit hard in the sportbook, the bettors took the casino for a +$28000 on the day

Here's the highlight reel from Kings Celtics


Kings thought the won a ship lol
 
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