week 3 early odds I like

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thascary1

thascary1

Sicc OG
#1
Mar 16, 2005
6,904
403
83
#1
1:00 PM Detroit +6 Philadelphia -6 100 200 300 400 500
Over 44 Under 44



Love Detroit +6




1:00 PM Indianapolis -6 Houston +6
Over 48 Under 48


no andre johnson...like indy -6





8:15 PM Dallas +3 Chicago -3
Over 41.5 Under 41.5

I honestly have no clue, reasoning, rationale anything...But I like Dallas +3 here
 
Gueroloco

Gueroloco

Sicc OG
#2
Apr 20, 2003
4,132
1,767
113
45
#2
thascary1 said:
1:00 PM Detroit +6 Philadelphia -6 100 200 300 400 500
Over 44 Under 44



Love Detroit +6




1:00 PM Indianapolis -6 Houston +6
Over 48 Under 48


no andre johnson...like indy -6





8:15 PM Dallas +3 Chicago -3
Over 41.5 Under 41.5

I honestly have no clue, reasoning, rationale anything...But I like Dallas +3 here
Click to expand...
IF I WAS to bet a parlay solely on these 3 teams I would take Phily -6, the UNDER on the Indy and Houston game, and the OVER on Dallas and Chicago game....
 
thascary1

thascary1

Sicc OG
#3
Mar 16, 2005
6,904
403
83
#3
Gueroloco said:
IF I WAS to bet a parlay solely on these 3 teams I would take Phily -6, the UNDER on the Indy and Houston game, and the OVER on Dallas and Chicago game....
Click to expand...

Philly hasn't stopped the pass with green bay and washington..how the hell they going to stop a 4 wide set of detroit?

and regarding your o/u picks I would switch them around lol


Houston been scoring..granted with Andre johnson....and indy wil lscore you know they will. last time they played total was 47, that was with Houston not as good as this year.

dallas chi COULD be over..but romo is due for a bad game and it could easily be one of those ones where dallas scores only like 7-13 points
 
jay deuce

jay deuce

Sicc OG
#4
Apr 25, 2002
5,500
12
38
47
#4
I think I like DET to cover as well, but Indy is a no bet even with Andre Johnson out. If AJ plays take Houston and the points.

I said in your post last week that betting Indy was a sucker bet, but I'll explain a little better this time. Betting road favorites is the worst thing you can do in the NFL. They cover the least out of any other bets.
 
Gueroloco

Gueroloco

Sicc OG
#5
Apr 20, 2003
4,132
1,767
113
45
#5
Well I believe McNabb is gonna have a great day passing this sunday against a Detriot mediocre defense and playing @ home against a dome team.... Yeah Phily's defense is suspect but yielding 209 yards 4rm Campbell and 206 yards 4rm Farve is not bad considering they had no Lito Sheppard lol.... and thats if B-Dawk is able to play this week since he injured his neck in the Skins game.

Your right Houston has been scoring points but the points have came against a weak Kansas City defense and a good Carolina team. Houston has allowed only 24 points in 2 games so you know the defense has upgraded 4rm last season... In the other hand, Indy scored 41 against a sorry New Orleans defense and pretty much shut down last years #1 offensive team to 10 points...... Without Johnson playing I don't really see Houston scoring more than 17 points in this game!

Dallas could win the game but not by much, I just don't see them scoring too many points against one of the NFL's best defenses.... Yeah Tony Homo is tourching defenses but they have played 0-2 Miami and 0-2 New York Giants which don't have good defensive secondaries. With the inconsistency of the Bears QB play I just don't see them putting up too many points on the Dallas Cowboys SO I CAN SEE it being a low scoring game.
 
thascary1

thascary1

Sicc OG
#6
Mar 16, 2005
6,904
403
83
#6
jay deuce said:
I think I like DET to cover as well, but Indy is a no bet even with Andre Johnson out. If AJ plays take Houston and the points.

I said in your post last week that betting Indy was a sucker bet, but I'll explain a little better this time. Betting road favorites is the worst thing you can do in the NFL. They cover the least out of any other bets.
Click to expand...

ITA

but there are certain teams you have to like thier chances on
 
jay deuce

jay deuce

Sicc OG
#7
Apr 25, 2002
5,500
12
38
47
#7
Of course there exceptions, but very rarely is there any value in betting them. I just think they are giving Houston way too many points.
 
RevoL

RevoL

Sicc OG
#8
Apr 25, 2002
3,413
0
0
#8
jay deuce said:
Betting road favorites is the worst thing you can do in the NFL. They cover the least out of any other bets.
Click to expand...
especially reverse turf home dogs (turf team playing on grass vice versa)

any other day i would pound on the texans in this one, but i ain't touching it with andre johnson out. we know the colts will score, but can schaub do it without his best weapon out there

not sold on the lions, they've beat oakland and minnesota. mcnabb will have to have a big game with no westbrook.

not feeling dallas @ chicago either only getting 3. i think chi town gets pressure on romo and will win the turn over battle. if you like dallas in this one, you might as well take the money line, better payout.

right now i'm liking:

Carolina -4 @ Atlanta
steve smith will have his way with d hall in this one

Baltimore -8 vs Arizona
i'd feel more comfortable if it was -6 with mcnair not 100% but i like baltimore d to shut down lienhart and edge. should win by 10+

Cinci +3.5 @ Seattle
carson palmer goes ape shit again in this one and rebounds from last weeks shootout
 
Gueroloco

Gueroloco

Sicc OG
#9
Apr 20, 2003
4,132
1,767
113
45
#9
RevoL said:
mcnabb will have to have a big game with no westbrook.
Click to expand...
Yeah just before I left to go to the store a little while ago I noticed on Sportscenter saying Westbrook was having a MRI! When I got home I went to the Eagles website to peep out what happened to B-West and it said he had a strained Knee suffered from Monday night. He didn't practice today but said it could be a game time decision so who knows.
 
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