Crazy, crazy fight.
I think Hopkins lateral movement and defense will be enough to keep the fight close, also Pavliks lack of any real defense will keep him open for counter rights all night. However the simple fact that Hopkins is 43 years old and showed his age against Calzaghe (a fight he could have easily of won if he had the stamina) and Pavlik is only 26, my gut tells my Pavlik should be able to out-work Hopkins and win off points. It would be an ugly win for pavlik and it doesn't prove anything since bhop is 43 and past his prime, but a win is a win I suppose and he can use the experience against a cagey veteran.
I'll be rooting for bhop though, he's a ring technician and he's accomplished the impossible several times before. can never rule him out.