Seahawks News Thread

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May 13, 2002
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www.socialistworld.net
th Penalty Bias Analysis

These numbers are the average of the difference between the number of penalties called against a team's opponents per game and the number of penalties called against that opponent in all their other games.

A lower Penalty Bias means that opponents are being called for fewer penalties against the listed team than they are in their other games.



As you see the Hawks opponents are being called for far fewer penalties when playing against the Hawks than other games, and by a significant margin compared to other teams.


Perhaps:
-Everyone plays their cleanest games against the Hawks (and really sloppy vs WAS)
-Seattle doesn't run schemes that cause many opponent penalties (on O or D)
-Refs call fewer penalties in loud situations (more analysis needed, but seeing KC near the top makes me think there's something here)
-Refs are spending more time watching the Hawks (for whatever reason) which allows the opponent to get away with more things than they normally do.

-Many of the rules changes and focuses were targeted at the Hawks so the refs could be focusing on them more.

Edit: The units on the numbers on the chart are Penalties/Game. So the Hawks opponents are called for ~2.4 fewer Penalties/Game against the Hawks than they are flagged for in their other games.


http://www.reddit.com/r/Seahawks/comments/2nz7uu/penalty_bias_analysis_oc/

To compare to last year, Seattle was -0.32821

More:
The Hawks’ penalty issues might not be that big of a problem. True, the team leads the NFL with 102 penalties called against them this season in 12 games — an average of 8.5 per contest, which ranks third in the league behind only the Denver Broncos (8.73 per game) and the New England Patriots (8.64). But after the Seahawks’ win Thursday night, those teams are a combined 25-9, which seems to illustrate Carroll’s point earlier this week that the refs tend to punish successful teams more than their opponents, something he noticed while coaching at USC.

“I think it’s interesting, fascinating,” Carroll said on Monday. “When we won the national championship the first year, the next year our opponents were penalized the least — for the next four years.”​
 
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Nov 24, 2003
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The #Seahawks are now the only NFL team since 1954 to be penalized 2x as often as their opponent. Gap is on pace to be widest in NFL history


Glad you posted that article because I have been doing a lot of reading on the subject myself and it's insane!

As a fan, its tough to separate "I feel like all the calls are going against us" with "the calls are actually going against us" and even a lot of the local sports radio hosts have been poo pooing the callers saying that the calls were going against us.

However when you start digging into the numbers, the facts don't lie! It has felt all season like the refs have been calling things one sided, and especially in situations where it looks like the hawks could really be opening it up....and the numbers are backing up that feeling and then some.
 
May 13, 2002
49,944
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Seattle
www.socialistworld.net
Yeah exactly the numbers are facts so it's not just fans whining anymore, it's a legit problem. I think Pete is probably spot on that good teams just tend to get called for more penalties, so there is more of a balance. Although, many of the rule changes in the off season were clearly aimed at Seattle so it seems it's more than that and there is actually an agenda going on here.
 
Feb 14, 2004
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May 9, 2002
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Seattle has the #1 overall defense in the NFL, allowing only 285.8 yards a game....15 yards better than Detroit. They have the #1 passing defense once again.

Seattle is #3 in scoring defense, allowing 18.4 points a game

Seattle is tied for 3rd in TO margin at +9. They are tied for 7th in sacks with 31 (JAX is #1 with 50!)

Just some fun stats to chew on during downtime.
 
Feb 14, 2004
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Look who’s only one game behind the Cardinals in the NFC West

Monday metatarsal musings, or footnotes from a frigid weekend of watching football: Three games behind the Cardinals in the NFC West just 10 days ago, the Seahawks are now a game back as they enter the final month of the regular season.

The Seahawks, Eagles and Lions watched, while the Cardinals, Packers and Falcons played.

And all six teams emerged from Sunday’s action in Week 13 of the NFL season in a little different situation than they entered it, including the Seahawks being only one game behind the Cardinals in the NFC West after they were three games back just 10 days ago.

How does that happen? The Seahawks kicked off their Thanksgiving week by handing the Cardinals their second loss of the season, 19-3, at CenturyLink Field on Nov. 23. Four days later, the Seahawks concluded the Thanksgiving Day tripleheader by beating the San Francisco 49ers in the Bay Area – again, by a score of 19-3; and again, with a suffocating defensive effort – for the first time since 2008. Sunday, the Cardinals played the Falcons in Atlanta and left with their third loss of the season.

The Cardinals still hold the top seed in the NFC, but they still have to play the Kansas City Chiefs and Seahawks at home, and the St. Louis Rams and 49ers on the road.

The Eagles, who the Seahawks play in Philadelphia on Sunday, entered the extended weekend as the No. 2 in the NFC. But, despite being 9-3 after their victory over the Cowboys in Dallas on Thanksgiving Day, they slipped to the No. 3 seed because the Packers outlasted the New England Patriots in Green Bay on Sunday to improve to 9-3.

And being the No. 2 seed is a huge deal, because with it comes a first-round bye in the playoffs and a home game in the divisional round against the highest-seeded team to emerge from the wild-card round.

The Lions, the other winner on Thanksgiving Day to improve to 8-4, remain the No. 6 seed – and hold the final wild-card spot. But they would now play at Philadelphia, and not Green Bay, if the playoffs started today.

They don’t, of course, and that’s great because the battle of the NFC playoff spots should make for a December to remember.

Just look at these remaining schedules for the teams involved. From the current top seed to the No. 6 seed:

Cardinals (9-3) – Chiefs, 7-5 after Sunday night’s loss to the Denver Broncos; at the Rams, who won their fifth game in emphatic fashion with Sunday’s 52-0 romp over the Oakland Raiders in St. Louis; Seahawks; and at the 49ers (7-5).

Packers (9-3) – Falcons; at the Bills (7-5) and Buccaneers (2-10); Lions, in a rematch that could decide the NFC North.

Eagles (9-3) – Seahawks; Cowboys (8-4, and the No. 7 seed); at Redskins (3-9) and Giants (3-9).

Falcons (5-7) – at Packers; Steelers (7-5); at Saints (5-7); Panthers (3-8-1).

Seahawks (8-4) – at Eagles; 49ers; at Cardinals; Rams.

Lions (8-4) – Buccaneers (2-10); Vikings (5-7); at Bears (5-7); at Packers.

Either the Falcons or Saints, also 5-7, will win the NFC South – and likely do it with a .500 or losing record; as the Seahawks did in 2010 when they won the NFC West at 7-9 and then knocked off the defending Super Bowl champion Saints in a wild-card playoff game in Seattle.

Talk about controlling your own destiny. The Seahawks do, and so do several other teams.

But that’s the last thing the Seahawks are thinking about as they re-emerge from their long weekend to begin practicing on Tuesday for Sunday’s game against the Eagles in Philly. The Eagles are not only 6-0 at home; they’re averaging 35 points in their home wins. But those victories have come against the Jaguars, Redskins, Rams, Giants, Panthers and Titans – teams that are a combined 18-53-1, with the leader of that pack being the Rams at 5-7.

So the Seahawks’ immediate task is doable. If they continue to play defense as they have in their past two games, and continue to approach this game as they have every game.

“One game at a time,” strong safety Kam Chancellor said Monday. “And that would be the Eagles. It’s a road game, so we know what we’ve got to do.”

Three of the Seahawks’ four losses have come on the road – at San Diego, St. Louis and Kansas City. And their road wins before Thursday night’s convincing effort against the 49ers at Levi’s Stadium were a 10-point victory over the Redskins and a four-pointer over the Panthers – two teams with six victories between them.

Reminded of that, and the Eagles’ point-propelled winning streak at home, Chancellor offered, “Whatever was done in the past doesn’t matter. It’s what you do on Sunday.”

Or Thursday night.

That’s not just coach-speak being repeated, it’s fact. And it goes back to the fact that 10 days ago the Seahawks were three games behind the Cardinals in the NFC West with six games to play, and now trail them by one game with four to play – and they have the tiebreaker advantage because of their victory over the Cardinals.

“Exactly,” Chancellor said. “The past doesn’t matter to what you’re doing now and how you set yourself up now. So you’ve got to take it one day at a time, one game at a time.”

Just as the Seahawks have, despite being 6-4 and on the brink of not even making the playoffs just 10 days ago.

“The position we’re in – we’ve played 12 games and lost four of them,” Chancellor said. “We’re in the position that we deserve to be in.”

And, thanks to the Falcons’ upset of the Cardinals on Sunday and the Seahawks’ back-to-back victories over the Cardinals and 49ers, it is a pretty good position to be in as far as making this a December to remember for the defending Super Bowl champions.

http://www.seahawks.com/news/articl...NFC-West/7b71f070-b8a5-4802-977c-71b1ffb5f6ac